We’re Picking Winners for NFL Divisional Playoff Weekend 2023

We’re Picking Winners for NFL Divisional Playoff Weekend 2023

The NFL Playoffs kicked off with an up-and-down “Super Wild Card” weekend, and everyone had a good time. The Chargers gave away a huge lead, the Bucs flopped in prime time on Monday and the Bills flirted with total disaster against the Dolphins. Oh, and there was so much more. In this space, the results were ugly, in part due to Buffalo’s inexplicable collapse near the end of the first half, and there are fewer games to mess with this time of year. Unfortunately, we move on, and the Divisional Round is here starting on Saturday.

Before moving on to this week’s card, let’s calculate the full season performance.

  • Wild Card: 1-4
  • 2022 season: 49-42-2

Come get these winners.

PREVIEW: Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5) over Jacksonville Jaguars and Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5) over New York Giants

This is pretty boxy, which terrifies me, but I think there’s value here. Kansas City should be able to come home against an outmatched Jacksonville team, and Andy Reid is 30-6 with more than 10 days to prepare. New York is a public team at this point, but Philly has the bye advantage, the (much) more talented roster and the ability to game plan to keep Daniel Jones in the pocket. Give me the favourites.

Buffalo Bills (-5.5) over Cincinnati Bengals

There’s all kinds of sharp action here in Buffalo, pushing the lineup despite public sentiment about Cincinnati as an underdog. The Bills played with their food last week and they’re going to need to be better here. I do think Buffalo will be able to pressure Joe Burrow given Cincinnati’s depleted offensive line, and Josh Allen comes right here.

Buffalo Bills and Cincinnati Bengals UNDER 49 points

This gives the sense of a potential shootout but, as noted above, the Bengals may not be able to protect Burrow like they should. I also think Cincinnati’s defense is a bit underrated, and being able to sack 49 here is helpful. Let’s go home at 27-17 or something.

Dallas Cowboys (+4) over San Francisco 49ers

Dallas probably isn’t as good offensively as it seemed on Monday night, and apparently the Cowboys are always a public side. That’s not really the case here though, as the Niners are getting all kinds of praise with Brock Purdy leading the charge. Purdy struggled a lot early on against Seattle, and while he figured it out, Dallas is a different animal.

Dallas Cowboys and San Francisco 49ers UNDER 46.5 points

I trust both defenses to a decent degree, and I’m certainly further down the Purdy experience than most. I’m kind of scared Dallas could beat the San Francisco secondary but, if that happens, we’ll at least probably get the underdog to the window.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *