The Northeast Conference takes the national stage with a college basketball matinee showdown on Thursday. The St. Francis Terriers visit the Spiro Sports Center to take on the Wagner Seahawks in a league battle. St. Francis is 9-11 overall and 2-5 in conference play. Wagner is on a three-game winning streak, improving to 11-7 overall with a 6-2 mark at home. St. Francis is 9-9 and Wagner is 6-10 against the spread this season
The advisory is at 5 pm ET in Staten Island. Caesars Sportsbook lists Wagner as a 10-point hometown favorite, while the plus/minus, or total number of points Vegas thinks he’ll score, is 126.5 at the latest St. Francis vs. Wagner. Before choosing St. Francis vs. Wagner, you must see college basketball predictions and betting tips from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.
The SportsLine projection model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters Week 12 of the 45-26 season on college basketball’s top picks, returning more than $1,100 for $100 players. Anyone who has followed him has seen big gains.
Now, the model has set its sights on St. Francis vs. Wagner and simply posted his CBB picks and predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to see model selections. Now here are several college basketball odds and bet lines for St. Francis vs. Wagner:
- St Francis vs. Wagner spread: Wagner -10
- St Francis vs. Wagner plus/minus: 126.5 points
- SF: Terriers are 4-6 against spread in road games
- WAG: Seahawks are 3-3 against spread in home games
- Picks from St. Francis vs. Wagner: See the selections here
Why San Francisco can cover
St. Francis has intriguing defensive characteristics, including a 19.9% turnover creation rate, which includes a 10.3% steal rate for the Terriers. St. Francis blocks 10.2% of shots while limiting opponents to 48.3% of shots on 2-point attempts. Wagner is a poor shooting team, making only 44.4% of 2-point shots, 31.0% of 3-point shots, and 66.8% of free throw attempts. The Seahawks are also outside the top 300 nationally in free throw creation rate, and that adds to St. Francis’ projected efficiency.
On the offensive end, St. Francis is shooting 37.0% from 3-point range in conference play, No. 2 in the Northeast, and the Terriers are above average in offensive rebound rate, free throw creation rate and free kick accuracy. With Wagner being one of the worst teams in the country in free throw rate allowed and block rate (5.6%) on defense, St. Francis can be aggressive.
Why Wagner can cover
Wagner has an appetizing defensive matchup against St. Francis. The Seahawks are No. 2 in the Northeast Conference in adjusted defensive efficiency, and Wagner wreaks havoc on that end of the floor. Wagner creates a steal on 11.4% of defensive possessions and a turnover on 23.7% of defensive possessions, with opponents shooting just 30.4% from 3-point range this season. The Seahawks also grab nearly 75% of the available rebounds, which is well above average, and Wagner should benefit from St. Francis’ weaknesses on the offensive end.
The Terriers rank last in the Northeast Conference in adjusted offensive efficiency, and St. Francis loses over 24% of offensive possessions. St. Francis is also last in the conference in 2-point shooting (42.9%) and assist percentage, generating an assist on just 49.7% of field goals. With Wagner also facing a St. Francis defense that ranks second worst in the conference in defensive efficiency, the Seahawks project to have advantages on both ends.
How to make picks from St. Francis vs. Wagner
SportsLine’s model leans toward total points, with 11 players projected to score at least seven points. The model also says that one side of differential impacts in more than 50% of the simulations. You can only view model selections on SportsLine.
So who wins St. Francis vs. Wagner? And which side of the difference affects more than 50% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the St. Francis vs. Wagner needs to jump Thursday, all from the model that has crushed his college basketball picks, and find out.