Baseball Hall of Fame Announcement 2023: Date, Time, TV Channel, Watch Online, Stories, Prediction

Baseball Hall of Fame Announcement 2023: Date, Time, TV Channel, Watch Online, Stories, Prediction

The results of the BBWAA vote for the 2022 Baseball Hall of Fame class will be released Tuesday night. Much of the intrigue in this vote will revolve around whether Scott Rolen can pull it off, the earnings of various players (specifically Todd Helton) and how Alex Rodriguez and Carlos Beltran fare.

He The full 2023 ballot can be viewed here. The rules: A player is eligible to be put on the ballot after five years of retirement. Players who get at least 75 percent of the ballots returned from qualified BBWAA voters are entered into the Hall of Fame. Those who get less than five percent are off the ballot. Those between five and 75 percent can stay on the ballot for up to 10 years. BBWAA members who are active in good standing and have been in good standing for at least 10 years can vote between zero and 10 players each year.

Regardless of what happens in the BBWAA ballot, there is already a new Hall of Famer in the class of 2023: Fred McGriff. He made it through Contemporary Era Committee vote held during winter meetings.

Here are the details of Tuesday’s selection program:

Baseball Hall of Fame Class of 2023 Announcement

  • Hour: 6 pm ET | Date: Tuesday, January 24
  • television channel: MLB Network (coverage begins at 4 p.m. ET and runs for four hours)
  • live broadcast: fuboTV (try for free)

Below are six stories to watch out for when the vote totals are revealed Tuesday night. NOTE: When I mention “surveys”, I mean Ryan Thibodaux Vote Tracker (Actually, it’s not so much a poll as it is a ballot collection, but this is the easiest way to frame it succinctly.)

1. Is this the year of Rolen?

Scott Rolen’s rise in the vote has a “when, not if” feel to it. It’s actually more than feeling. Last month, I reviewed recent historical voting trends to show that Rolen is overwhelmingly likely to enter.

However, it still matters if it’s this year or next or the year after. First of all, from a human perspective, surely Rolen is excited to go in and if he doesn’t make the cut, it’s going to be another year of waiting. In terms of overall Hall of Fame voting, it’s a spot on the ballot and clearing them helps all the other legitimate candidates. Remember, voters only have a maximum of 10 places on their ballot and some Small Hall voters are artificially limited beyond that. More succinctly, the faster Rolen is off the ballot, the easier it will be for all the other players to make a profit, including next year’s newcomers like Adrian Beltre, Joe Mauer and Chase Utley.

Polls show Rolen has a good chance of making the 75 percent needed, but he seems to have a pretty decent chance of coming up short. He was in the polls at 71 percent last year and the actual vote revealed him at 63.2 percent. Right now, he’s at 80 percent of the polls, and if there’s a similar shortfall in private voting, he’ll be a few percent short of it.

Like I said, it’s going to be close. This is where most of the drama is for Tuesday night’s voting.

2. Still low numbers for A-Rod?

a rod has a polarizing case. We already know that. I strongly believe this is a great year in voting for A-Rod. If you make big profits, there is a chance that you will make it to the Hall in the future. If you don’t, you’ll probably end up in Bonds Land. I went much deeper into the theory here..

The numbers right now don’t bode well for A-Rod. The polls show that he only gained two votes from last year (when he was 161 votes short of being enshrined). It’s always possible that there will be a cache of non-public votes for A-Rod, but there weren’t last year. Right now, it looks like he won’t make it to 40 percent, and if that’s the case, it’s hard to see him make up enough ground to get to 75 percent.

3. How does the scandal of the theft of signs affect Beltrán?

We’ve been able to get a general idea of ​​how PED-connected players would be treated, broadly speaking, with the voting body for years. In Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens, we have two all-time greats who never tested positive while there were tests, but they were very connected. In Rafael Palmeiro and Manny Ramirez, we’ve had players post offensive Hall of Fame numbers but test positive. At A-Rod, well, you know.

However, we don’t have a good comparison between this voting body and Beltrán, and it could provide a roadmap for how things will play out for José Altuve and others in the future. Here it is my lengthy discussion of your case and the matter of the token-stealing scandal.

Polls show him 15 percent ahead of A-Rod, so that’s probably a good sign for Beltran. There have been some voters who have written that they have withheld a vote for him this year, but will think again next year. If he can get around 50 percent of the vote, I estimate, he has a chance to get in in the future. If he ends up any closer to A-Rod, we’ll say 40 bass, it’ll probably be 10 long years from now.

Aside from whether or not Rolen gets in, this is the story that will grab my attention the most on Tuesday night.

4. Helton on the move

But what if Rolen isn’t the only player with a chance to pull it off?

Last year, Helton got 52 percent of the vote compared to Rolen’s 63.2 percent, but Helton made significant gains. She is already 28 votes up and is getting just one vote behind Rolen at 79.4 percent. It would be a big step forward, but it really does seem like the voting body as a whole has become very enthusiastic about Helton’s candidacy.

His is a bit of a polarizing case, but not for reasons of scandal. He played his entire career with Coors Field as his home. I examined the matter here..

If there’s a big upset Tuesday night, Helton will become a Hall of Famer.

5. Keep an eye on profits

Let’s look at the following players in addition to the ones mentioned above:

  • billy wagner: After jumping nearly 30 points in two years to 46.4 for the 2021 vote, Wagner made more modest gains to 51 percent last year. Still, polls show that he got 29 votes in this voting cycle. This is his eighth year and a great opportunity, with all the ballots cleared from the last voting cycle, to make a leap into realist territory.
  • Gary Sheffield: After a huge two-year jump to 40.6 in the 2021 ballot, Sheffield stuck to exactly 40.6 per cent again. This is his ninth year on the ballot and he needs a big jump to have even a remote chance next year. Polls show he’s won 24 votes so far, so maybe he’s on his way, although realistically the lack of gains last year doomed him.
  • Andrew Jones: Little more than an afterthought who stayed on the ballot in his first two years, Jones hit 19.4 percent in 2020, 33.9 percent in 2021 and 41.1 percent last year. Now on his sixth vote, the tracker has him gaining 22 more votes. Does it look like he will top 50 percent or maybe even 55? If the latter is the case, he is well on his way to eventual consecration.
  • Bobby Abreu: He only garnered 8.6 percent of the vote last year, but has so far garnered 11 votes in the polls. It is her fourth attempt.
  • Andy Pettitte: In his fourth voting cycle last year, Pettitte got 10.7 percent of the vote and has won 12 votes this time.
  • jimmy rollins: She got 9.4 percent of the votes in her debut last year and this time she has won three votes.
  • Mark Buehrle: He stayed above the threshold on each of his first two tries (5.8 percent last year) and got eight votes.

Wagner and Jones would be the big ones to watch, while Buehrle and Rollins may just barely survive.

6. Who falls?

  • Jeff Kent: It is his swan song; the tenth and last year of it. Even with a decent increase from last year in polling data, it’s highly unlikely to hit 60 percent. detail here how his case will probably do much better in committee and how this is a blessing in disguise for him.
  • Torii hunter: Scoring just 5.3 percent last year on his first try, Hunter barely survived. His public earnings are modest enough to believe there’s a chance he could drop below 5 percent.
  • Francis Rodriguez: It’s K-Rod’s first year and it looks like he’ll survive, but it’s likely to be very close. The polls show him around 9 percent, but as a closer, I think he loses something before the vote is revealed.
  • Omar Vizquel: It is very likely that he will survive. He is in the polls with K-Rod, but Vizquel’s remaining voters are almost all private. He gained nearly 14 percent last year between ballot tracking and actual voting results. However, he’s still dead in the water as far as his chances of making it to the Hall, here on his sixth attempt.
  • None of the remaining freshmen on the ballot have gotten a public vote yet. Those are Bronson Creek, mate cain, ra dickey, Jacoby Ellsbury, Andre Ethier, JJ Hardy, Juan Lacayo, mike napoli, john peralta, Houston Street, jered weaver Y jayson werth. Even if some of them get one or two votes, they are all unique.

Of those who face the 5 percent threshold, I’ll predict Hunter goes down while K-Rod and Vizquel survive.

The only other person on the ballot I haven’t mentioned yet is manny ramirez. It is very likely that he will remain in no man’s land with Vizquel, albeit for different reasons. He got 28.9 percent of the vote last year and his polls show stagnation.

7. Prediction

Back on November 22, I predicted that this class would be McGriff and Rolen. I got the committee vote with McGriff going solo, so let’s do two for two to get the BBWAA correct as well. Rolen walks in and that’s it for this vote.

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